Moir Stakes 2021: Trevor Lawson’s preview
Track The rail stays in the true… it’s a bit hard to call the track now as there’s rain predicted on Friday. Last meeting it was in the true and it was a mad leaders track, but it had been out the previous two meetings. So now we’ve had a few meetings where it’s been in all positions and openly it’s even enough.
Speed There’s really good speed here. Coolangatta should lead with Malkovich and Generation. Rothfire and Zoustyle will sit handy.
Prices courtesy of TopSport at time of publication.
2 Paulele [$4.20] has got one really big figure from last start (when he ran second in the Group 1 Kingsford-Smith at Doomben) but it was over 1300m. He’s first-up and will probably sit midfield. I think having JMac in the saddle has probably shortened him up in the market.
3 Rothfire [$4.20] is entitled to be favourite in my opinion. He was solid winning the Group 2 McEwen Stakes last start and maps to get a good run here. He should sit just behind the speed.
4 Zoustyle [$8.00] missed the kick first-up in the McEwen Stakes but held on okay. Has some chance.
6 Generation [$8.00] is pretty good odds here I think. He pretty good last start in The Heath at Caulfield and I think he’ll sit right on the speed.
12 Coolangatta [$9] wasn’t suited last start in the McEwen when she couldn’t cross. She’ll be able to hold the insider here from Barrier 1 but she’s a three-year-old filly and I think the others are just stronger.
7 Extremely Lucky [$14] ran on okay here last start but would have to come from last. I’m not sure he could round all these up.
9 Bella Nipotina [$14] has drawn wide (Barrier 11) but I think Williams might be able to get a cart into the race and if so, she’s the one that will be really strong late.
8 September Run [$15] is first-up and gets back on the inside. She’ll be strong late if she gets clear running but she’s still only a rough chance for mine.
10 Isotope [$17] missed a run last Saturday. She gets the blinkers again here. He might be boxed away here with all the speed around him and he needs clear running to show his best.
1 The Inferno [$20] runs on but will settle last. Not sure he can run down horses of similar or better ability in front of him.
5 Malkovich [$21] is second-up here and a rough chance. There’s a lot of speed around him, I’d prefer him in a race that he can dictate.
11 Mileva [$51] will have a better chance if the track is genuinely wet. She’s drawn awkwardly here and others have better claims.
Top pick Rothfire
Best value Bella Nipotina
I have Rothfire on top, he maps to get a really good run and should close well. Bella Nipotina is the one that’s real value in my opinion, I’d say because of the gate. I think Williams might be able to get her into it and then she’ll be strong late.
The Moir Stakes is a Group 1 weight-for-age sprint over 1000 metres, run at Moonee Valley Racecourse during the Spring Carnival. The race is named after Alan Moir, a former chairman of the Moonee Valley Racing Club. Current prizemoney is $1 million
The Moir Stakes was first run in 1976, the year after Alan Moir stepped down from the MVRC chairmanship, and the race gained Group 1 status in 2013. It’s the first Group 1 sprint of the Australian racing season, and is currently held on the opening night of the Moonee Valley Friday night racing season each year. It’s followed later in the spring by other Group 1 sprints in the Manikato Stakes and VRC Sprint Classic, as well as The Everest in Sydney.
Some of Australia’s greatest sprinters in recent decades have won the Moir Stakes, including Manikato, Schillaci, Miss Andretti, Apache Cat, Black Caviar, Buffering and Nature Strip.
Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.
As well as a full set of rated prices, speed maps and suggested bets, you can spend each and every raceday with a pro punter: the Melbourne Ratings Live Page gives you direct access to Trev himself to ask whatever you like.
If you’re keen to win, it’s the only way to punt.