Expert PGA Tips at $23 and $38: The Memorial Tournament

Memorial Tournament
Memorial Tournament

The PGA Tour players move to the Midwest state of Ohio for a long-established event on the circuit, The Memorial. Here’s the preview from the Golf Insider, with two of his big-dollar value bets.

The Memorial Tournament

Like the Arnold Palmer Invitational or the Byron Nelson Classic, this is effectively the “Jack Nicklaus Open”, it simply doesn’t have the name of the man himself in the title. It was first played in 1976 when, contrary to the script, Nicklaus didn’t win (he did the next year), and because of its connection to him it always draws a strong field. And that’s very much the case this week as defending champion Patrick Cantlay lines up along with a number of Major winners (Rahm, Spieth, McIlroy, Morikawa, Lowry, Matsuyama, Bradley, Reed – the list goes on!).

Prizemoney US$12m (US$2.16m to the winner)

Field 120

Highest-ranked OWGR players in field: Rahm (2), Smith (3), Morikawa (4), Cantlay (6), Hovland (7), McIlroy (8), Spieth (10), Schauffele (11), Matsuyama (12), Zalatoris (14).

2021 Result
-13 Patrick Cantlay ($23, won play-off)
-13 Collin Morikawa ($19)
-11 Scottie Scheffler ($46)
-10 Branden Grace ($176)
-8 Patrick Reed ($36)

The Course

To use the over-worn phrase, the tournament is played on “the course that Jack built”. It’s Muirfield Village, an impressive 7,392 yard layout (par 72) located in Dublin on the outskirts of Columbus, Ohio. Built in 1974 it’s set in lush parkland, with relatively wide fairways but penal rough for those who stray off the tee. Water is also present on 11 holes around the course. A famous venue, it has staged the Ryder Cup, Solheim Cup and Presidents Cup and was originally designed by Nicklaus himself… meaning the golfers can expect no easy ride this week!

72-Hole Record
268: Tom Lehman (1994)

18-Hole Record
61: John Huston (1996)

The Weather

A wet then dry week is forecast with a daily precipitation forecast of 60%-10%-0%-20% over the course of the tournament. Temperatures will reach the mid 70s, with a good deal of cloud cover throughout the week. Winds will be light, with maximum wind speeds reaching just 10-12mph.

Outright Value Bets from The Golf Insider

These are two value bets from the Golf Insider. Members receive all of his best bets for all markets – win and each-way, Top 10, Top 20, Round 1 Leader and 3-Ball groups. He covers every tournament on the PGA and European Tours.

Collin Morikawa (each way): $23 with TopSport

I’m sticking with one of last week’s picks and keeping the faith with Morikawa. Now without doubt, the 25-year-old hasn’t been swinging the club anywhere near his best for the past few weeks. Figures of 26-29-55-40 are extremely modest, even poor, by the Californian’s incredibly high standards. But I expect a return to Muirfield Village to do the trick as it’s a course where in three starts he’s won (2020) and been runner-up (2021) – so he clearly likes it here! Morikawa has generally played well enough from tee-to-green in recent tournaments, but his putting has been very poor. He’s ranked 66-70-62 for Strokes Gained: Putting in his last three strokeplay events. If he gets his putting back on-point, then Morikawa can bounce back in Ohio this week.

Cameron Young (each way): $38 with TopSport

Young has some stellar recent form going 3-2-3 in his last three starts – including a 3rd in the USPGA. He’s a two-time winner on the Korn Ferry Tour, and has thrived since joining the main PGA Tour ranks with five Top 10’s in his first, and only, 20 starts. As you might expect, all his numbers look good, ranking 14th for Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green – which is a key metric here this week. Yes, there is a concern that his price is potentially out-running Young’s achievements to date, but there is no doubt that he’s a winner-in-waiting. Currently on a hot streak there’s every chance the man from New York state can get into the mix once again.

The Golf Insider is a GUN. Look at these winners, all since the start of 2020…

Martin Laird $201, Rasmus Hojgaard $151, Mark Hubbard $126, Marc Warren $101, Sam Burns $67, Tyrell Hatton $51, Peter Malnati $46, John Catlin $46, Talor Gooch $41, Harold Varner $36, Harris English $34, Robert Macintyre $31, Adri Arnaus $26, Connor Syme $26, Scott Jamieson $24, JB Holmes $21, Seamus Power $21, Dustin Johnson $21