Expert PGA Golf Tips at $38 and $44: Charles Schwab Challenge

charles schwab challenge
charles schwab challenge

We’re off to Dallas for the Charles Schwab Challenge after last week’s PGA Championship – read on for the Golf Insider’s tournament preview and tips.

Charles Schwab Challenge

It’s been around since 1946 but the Charles Schwab Challenge (as the event is currently known after spending recent years as both the Fort Worth Invitational, and the Dean & Deluca Invitational) has undergone several name changes along the way, with the “Colonial” being its most popular modern version. As one of the five invitational events on the PGA Tour it’s made up of a smaller field then usual (120 players compared to the usual 156) but the quality tends to remain constant with a number of “name” players lifting the trophy in recent years.

Prizemoney $8.4m ($1.35m to the winner)

Field 120

Highest-ranked OWGR players in the field: Scheffler (1), Morikawa (4), Thomas (5), Hovland (7), Spieth (9), Burns (10), Zalatoris (14), Horschel (16), Ancer (19).

2021 Result:
-14 Jason Kokrak ($51)
-12 Jordan Spieth ($12)
-10 Charley Hoffman ($51)
-10 Patton Kizzire ($111)
-10 Sebastian Munoz ($176)
-10 Ian Poulter ($91)

The Course

The Colonial Country Club is a par 70 laid out over 7,209 yards. It was originally designed by John Bredemus, situated just outside Fort Worth in Texas, and the facility has a rich history dating back to its opening in 1936. It’s a tree-lined course, with narrow fairways, many dogleg holes (turning left and right from tee-to-green) and testing putting surfaces. No pushover for the players with average winning scores in recent years being around 12-under to 15-under-par.

72-Hole Record 259, Zach Johnson (2010)

18-Hole Record 61, Zach Johnson (2010)

The Weather

A dry week is forecast with a daily precipitation forecast of 0%-0%-10%-0% over the course of the tournament. Temperatures will reach the mid 80’s, with minimal of cloud cover during the week. Winds will rise all week, with maximum wind speeds reaching just 20-22mph.

Charles Schwab Challenge: Value Bets

Taylor Gooch $38 with TopSport

The 30-year-old from Oklahoma landed a first career win at the RSM Classic back in November, and his form this year has been solid. In 13 starts, Gooch has missed four cuts, but has nine Top 30 finishes – basically doing well every time he’s made the weekend. He was Top 20 at Southern Hills, and must surely come into this week with heaps of confidence. On what is a ball-striker’s course, Gooch ranks 28th from tee-to-green, 20th on Approach and 6th for Strokes Gained: Around The Green – so if he can sink a few putts, then I see no reason why he can’t go well this week. An improving player, Gooch can certainly do better than last year’s 14th place.

Kevin Na $44 with TopSport

Unfashionable, but highly efficient. Na never receives many accolades, but the 38-year-old is a 5-time PGA Tour winner, with victories from 2011 right up to 2021. The South Korean, who plays under the US banner, is a past winner at Colonial (2019) and his generally reliable game from tee-to-green seems perfectly suited for this week’s test. And dating right back to 2005 he has eight Top 25 finishes here. Na’s form this year has been solid rather than spectacular, but a 14th at Augusta and 23rd last week in the PGA catch the eye. The week before/after a Major can be tricky times to accurately gauge the market, but Na looks genuine value here at 40/1+ on a course that suits and in a smaller field than usual.

The Golf Insider is a GUN. Look at these winners, all since the start of 2020…

Martin Laird $201, Rasmus Hojgaard $151, Mark Hubbard $126, Marc Warren $101, Sam Burns $67, Tyrell Hatton $51, Peter Malnati $46, John Catlin $46, Talor Gooch $41, Harold Varner $36, Harris English $34, Robert Macintyre $31, Adri Arnaus $26, Connor Syme $26, Scott Jamieson $24, JB Holmes $21, Seamus Power $21, Dustin Johnson $21