AFL – Round 13 in Review

Round 13 of the 2022 AFL season saw the premiership favourites lose a third straight game, while another club are officially back in business.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Disillusioned Dees

The wheels haven’t fallen off at Melbourne, but they’re certainly getting loose. A loss against Fremantle two weeks ago was ‘the loss they had to have’. Against Sydney last week, a second straight loss saw worry set in. And on Queen’s Birthday Monday, after starting strong $1.40 favourites against Collingwood, a third-straight loss has turned into full-blown concern. It came after a week of off-field controversies, and reported fracturing among the playing group. More importantly, the loss reflects that Simon Goodwin’s men simply aren’t getting it done against the AFL’s best sides. The Dees are now 1-3 against teams currently in the top-eight. And it’s reflected in the futures markets. $2.45 flag favourites three weeks ago, the Dees are out to $3.30 with Fremantle ($5.50) and Brisbane ($6.00) closing in.

Tigers back in business

After a lacklustre start to the 2022 AFL season, Richmond are back. After slumping to 2-4, serious questions were being asked of whether the Tiger dynasty was officially done. But since then, Damien Hardwick’s men have won five of their last six (the one loss, against Sydney, they led by 33 points in the third term) the latest of which came against a valiant Port Adelaide outfit at the MCG. The Tigers ($1.48 H2H with Palmerbet) ran away 12-point victory to only *just* cover the 11.5-point pre-game line. And in doing so, they’ve given their AFL Top 8 hopes a huge boost. Out to $2.10 after Round 6, Hardwick’s side have shortened into $1.53 AFL Finals hopes. The Power, by contrast, have a mountain of work to do and are now out to $3.90.

Defence prevails

Despite dry conditions greeting players in most games, Round 13 was one of the lowest-scoring rounds of the year. In fact, just one clash — Fremantle v Hawthorn — finished above Palmerbet’s pre-game Total Points line. All three high-profile AFL games at the MCG finished well below the line. This included Essendon v Carlton (134 total points, pre-game line 162.5), Melbourne v Collingwood (138 points, pre-game line 160.5), and Richmond v Port Adelaide (142 points, pre-game line 158.5).