NBA Tips & Preview – Warriors @ Grizzlies

The daily preview it to the rim with NBA tips for a top-four Western Conference showdown stripped of its biggest stars. 

11:00 (AEDT), Tue 29th Mar @ FedEx Forum, Memphis

History: Played 104: Warriors 55 V Grizzlies 49

Last meeting: January 11, 2022: Grizzlies 116 d Warriors 108 at FedEx Forum

Final Thoughts: Memphis Grizzlies have all but locked up the Western Conference’s second seed and are in outstanding form. Golden State Warriors – four wins behind the Grizzlies – are on course for a third-place finish, but they need to arrest a recent slide.

Linchpins Ja Morant and Steph Curry will be missing from this would-be blockbuster.

The Grizzlies lead the season series 2-1. They got a 104-101 win in San Francisco in overtime in October as Ja Morant (30 pts, 7 reb, 5 ast) and Steph Curry (36 pts, 7 reb, 8 ast), before the Warriors bounced back 113-104 at Chase Center in December on the back of Curry’s 46 points. The Grizzlies took out a 116-108 home win in January despite Curry’s triple-double, with Morant putting up 29 points and 8 assists.

But Curry has missed Golden State’s last five games and will not be back today. Consequently, the Warriors have slipped to 48-27 with five losses in their last six outings. After beating East high-fliers Miami (118-104), they went down to Atlanta (121-110) and Washington (123-115). Jordan Poole has stepped up in Curry’s absence – averaging 27.2 points in the Warriors’ past six games – while Klay Thompson dropped 37 points against the Hawks but is out today. Draymond Green is seven games into his return but will be rested today.

The 52-23 Grizzlies have won eight of their last nine, including their last four against the Rockets, Nets, Pacers and Bucks by an average margin of 22.8 points – despite Morant missing all four games. De’Anthony Melton (24 pts) top-scored off the bench in the 127-102 win over the Bucks. Desmond Bane continues to make big strides, while front-court duo Dillon Brooks and Jaren Jackson Jr, and big man Steven Adams give Memphis the look of a team that can make a real splash in the post-season.

The Grizzlies are 27-10 at home this season (24-13 ATS, second in the NBA) and have won their last seven at FedEx Forum. The Warriors are 19-18 on the road (16-19-2 ATS) but just 2-7 in March.

Memphis are just $1.16 for the win given Golden State’s trio of marquee absentees. The Grizzlies have been humming despite main man Morant sitting on the sidelines and are on track for another double-digit home victory.

Best Bet: Handicap – Grizzlies -10.5 @ $1.85

Same Game Multi: Handicap – Grizzlies -10.5; Total – Over 224.5; Desmond Bane Points – Over 20.5; Steven Adams Rebounds – Over 10.5 @ $8.49