Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN previews Saturday’s Randwick , with horse racing tips and analysis for all 10 races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 5
Rail Position: Out 5m entire circuit
We have all waited for a long time to see this highly boomed youngster METALLICITY. And he looks like stepping out here for his debut as he heads toward the Golden Slipper. Has trialled like a superstar and won all 3 of his trials. Respect.
NORTHERN BEACHES looks to have talent and a lot of it. Made impressive ground late on debut from near the rear when 2nd this level. Fitter now, more experience too and looms large.
SANDPAPER looks a progressive type. He sat just off the speed but finished hard to win a midweek on debut. This is harder but he looks to have gears.
What a race. All the stars have drawn off the track. HIGHLIGHTS is a progressive type and also a last start winner. Is fittest now being 4th up. The 1.5kg claim is a major help too.
LORD DESANIMAUX doesn’t win often but he always runs well this grade and comes in very well at the weights while super fit. Ran 5th last start this grade and should nearly have won. Should go close. Big show.
LEATHER JACKET LEW has drawn to get the run of the race and is aiming for 3 on the bounce here. Toughest test to to date but is very strong.
Tip: LORD DESANIMAUX
Gee at his best, FUN FACT is probably the best placed runner all day. Hasn’t found the line well of late but this is a gimme if he turns up and runs his best.
OUTLANDOS can stay and has been racing well this prep, placing twice in sim liar races. Will run on.
CASINO KID is racing like he can stay all day. Is fast late and if he produces that power here in the stretch he’s the one to beat. Is ready to rumble.
Tip: FUN FACT
Oh this will be interesting. Two desperately fast leaders clashing here. DELEXEO is hard to catch when left alone in front and being fresh he should fly. But CAPITAL REIGN is every bit as quick and will serve it up to him in this. What a battle of attrition is coming up.
Lightly raced back mark sprinter MABERL may well be suited by the frenetic pace that will be set. Going for 3 on the bounce here. Likely to get back but he might just power home hard late.
Tip: CAPITAL REIGN
WAIRERE FALLS won by flashing home this grade last start. Up in weight but is very fit. If his best form turns up with him again, he can win.
This YIYI needed the run last start when a game 2nd. Will strip fitter and stronger this week and looks the winner.
They may just let CANASTA go here thinking he will stop in the mud but that will just let him be nicely clear over this rise and he is very fit.
Tip: 1. YIYI
Top field as it always is. LOST AND RUNNING if at his best, looks the winner. He is just too good and may well be back even better this time up. Trialled very impressively.
LAWS OF INDICES will get back from this poor draw but he has finishing power and should rocket home late. Is a Gr 1 horse.
At the weights KING OF SPARTA looks a great hope. He too gets back but is so fast ;set that he should be right in the frame here at the end.
Tip: 1. LOST AND RUNNING
What a terrific race. JAMAEA is considerably better than her luckless 9th when held up on the fence the whole race when resuming last start. Has been known to sweep down the outside at an incredible pace when she is in the clear. Fitter now.
ESPIONA is headed for stratosphere status and should win this with her head on her chest.
TILIANAM resumes here. Is very fast and will lead and when she kicks on the bend she will take a lot of catching.
Tip: 1. ESPIONA
Fantastic race. What a wonderful horse THINK IT OVER has proven to be. Just puts in superbly at every single level and goes well enough first-up. Certain to make his presence felt in this.
VERRY ELLEEGANT has trialled well and always races well fresh. Particularly on wet tracks. Is a superstar, one of the best we’ve ever seen so expect her to dash late.
SPECIAL REWARD is very fit and proven lately that he is up to this level over this trip. At big odds he will run you a good race.
Tip: 1. VERRY ELLEEGANT
This looks so open, probably 8 million chances. FITUESE is one of them. She loves it wet, was a cracking 5th in a super fast run race last start behind Isotope and has drawn well enough. Probably goes back, finds cover but can dash hard late.
SNAPDANCER is fully fit now and is ready to run a blinder. Scored on the Gold Coast in fast time last start when 2nd up. Jay Mac to ride and likely to be on speed all the way.
IT’S ME is she back? Not raced for over a year but was so brilliant at only campaign winning her only 4 starts and has a sensational finishing burst. Did win. recent trial by a huge margin. Get on if there is money for her.
Tip: 1. SNAPDANCER
Off this gate with a 2kg claim and 3rd up while down in grade, yeah TRUE DETECTIVE looks ideally placed. Will take a lot of beating as he loves it wet too. Big danger.
Similarly the in form BRING THE RANSOM. Have in your numbers.
MATOWATAKPE pulled up in a similar race last start distressed. Was forced to trial and looked great so expect him to be competitive.