Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Thursday’s Canterbury meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 8 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Rail Position: Out 4m entire
What a tough race. DEEP EXPECTATION is ready to fire up. Is third up here and both runs in stronger events say she is on par or better than these. Will go close.
Watch the market with ASTERIA. She debuted in this and bolted a trial in. Bred to be fast and appears to be so.
Don’t let WILLINGA BEAST get by you. She is a big, long-striding filly on debut here and she might be the real deal. Top drawer in fact. Respect her.
Tip: WILLINGA BEAST
The Godolphin pair are both extremely good and are better than midweek grade. They are RENOSU and SPACEWALK. Both have raced and run well in stakes races. Both are still on the Gr 1 2YO race path so expect them to fight this out.
MATCHA LATTE is on debut but won a Randwick trial by a country mile and the opinion on the street is that he is first class. Watch betting.
SPITFIRE deserves a city win. Has been around the money every one of his 7 starts where he has placed in four of them. Should again here.
NANO STAR looks certain to improve on his game 3rd when resuming. Has talent and looms as a threat.
SCAT’S SURFER GIRL was disappointing, no doubt about that because she displays talent. Is very fit going into this and has Jay Mac to steer her. Last chance.
MINISTER still a maiden after four starts but has placed twice including a fair effort in handy time when 3rd at Newcastle. Has met with overnight support. Big show.
COMPASSIONATE has failed to win in 9 starts but has been right on the backs of the placegetters past few in similar grade. Can place here.
HEADLINER has been hardly that and actually quite disappointing. Resumes here and trials have been good but worth noting, has been heavily backed overnight.
Good betting race. It’s fair to say ITA has shown in the past that she is an accomplished galloper and well up to this standard. has met with support overnight also which indicates connections rate her today.
SENSATIONALISM is 4th up here and is ready to fire up. Nash takes the ride and should be on speed all the way. Strong chance.
BROOKE’S BATTLE is much better than her poor 11th in this grade when resuming. Got back and stayed there. Since won a fast trial so expect a big improvement.
Gee, yet again trainer John Sargent has stumbled upon a great race for his free-wheeling galloper EASY CAMPESE. Down in grade and trip and on a heavy track. Perfect scenario for a horse who is both in form and extremely fit. Loves the mud too.
Ok, just cut and paste all that was written about Easy Campese and apply it to SWORD POINT here. The 3YO has won 2 of his past 3 including over 2000m last start when on pace all the way.
MILITARY MISSION is from Europe and is first-up here in a race where a few like to lead. He may just camp on them and finish very hard.
Tip: EASY CAMPESE
tough race to access. VRENELI is 2nd-up here but doesn’t have much 2nd up good form to speak of. But he is the class and his first-up run was handy. Is fitter now.
The joker in the deck is this English import DIAMIL. He is best over a mile and hasn’t raced for half a year but he wound up running home hard in a fast run 1000m trial the other day. Might be sprouting wings late.
GRACILISTYLA is very handy and consistent. He was a game 2nd when resuming last start in this grade and you just know he is fitter now. Hughie to ride too. Can do again.
Gee, this Bjorn Baker mare TURNSTYLE looks poised to do something. She is down in grade an is 2nd-up here. Loves the heavy too. Might be a great bet.
NOT ANOTHER REIBY is also 2nd-up and was very impressive last campaign. Bound to strip fitter and be in this finish.
RUBY KISSES won a slightly easier race last start and won it very well. That was at this track on a similarly heavy track.