Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews today’s Muswellbrook meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for 3 races. Good luck, punters!
Track: Soft 7
Lots of intrigue in this 2YO race. But, the one compelling thought is – surely today is the day DEEP EXPECTATION can salute. She is talented and consistent and yet has been runner-up 3 times from her 5 starts to date. Gets to lump around the heaviest weight here but she has earned it. Split a pair of smart ones two starts back and was runner-up again last start in a stronger field than this. Drawn well and I see her being top 3 throughout, sprinting away as they turn. Lots of money overnight for the unraced TUBTHUMPER so have in the quinella spot.
Tip: DEEP EXPECTATION
This is an interesting contest. I’m assuming jock Andrew Gibbons who rides both AUDETTE and TAWFIQ LASS, had the choice of rides in this. If so, it kinda surprised me that he chose Audette as I think the other mare looks perfectly placed in a race like this. Down in grade, on a track with a long straight and very fit. Granted, Audette is unbeaten in 3 race starts and is showing great talent but she is up in trip and a long way in class. I definitely am not saying she can’t win because she has proven her winning qualities but I just love horses, mares in particular, coming back in grade. I’ll quinella them.
Tip: TAWFIQ LASS
In order to be competitive today I think TOTO needs to flop out of the gates and settle near the rear. Which should be easy enough as there is a lot of early speed. His draw just means he has to find a spot. And given he has great 2nd up stats, being 2nd up today should be right up his alley. If he finds a fast lane down the middle of the track he should storm home.