Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Wednesday’s Canterbury meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 7 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 10
Rail Position: out 3m entire
What a tough race. On exposed form to date, nothing can win. Well, maybe DISONEY has some upside after a fair 5th in the bush on debut.
But this doesn’t appear very strong. Trial form was average for all of them. The bush horse SHIGERU is a long, gangly thing but does seem to have talent and speed. He may well be in the finish as he won his trial well.
FLYING BIRDS made up good ground, but was asked to, in recent trial when 2nd. Is in a strong stable.
PIEROSSA was a lip away from being ultra, ultra impressive on debut. Rattled home from midfield when she found a fast lane and just missed. Extra trip here suits and the experience is gold for her.
VEANDECHANCE was 3rd in that race and had 2nd tied down until Pierossa appeared in the last 20m. Must also be better for the run.
PENITENT may cause a boiler here. She has talent and her 5th at Scone was profoundly better than it looks as she weaved between traffic and came home on the sow part of the track.
This is considerably more to DINADO’s liking than when thrashed last start when resuming over 1200m. Loves the mud and should make solid ground late now that she is fitter.
In her grade, and today is her grade, this I’M DIVINE is very talented and will hit the line like a runaway train. Have her in your numbers.
TINNIE WINNIE is a nice stayer in the making. Resumes here and may find a couple of these too slick but has ability and will be putting in late.
Tip: I’M DIVINE
Huge weight for the Victorian MR TIPLA to lug around here but he’s down in grade and is 4th up. Drawn well enough and no surprise to see him race boldly. Loves the mud.
KIRKEBY resumes here but has the rails, Jay Mac and recent nice trial. Last campaign form was solid and does go well fresh.
CAMAGUEY is a talented 3YO who is very close to a win. Should be up on speed all the way. Is 3rd up and looms large.
Good betting race. It will be interesting to see how GAME THEORY goes here. So good winning a pair of provincial races recently then failed in town. This is slightly easier.
JULIAN ROCK was strong late when resuming last start in a similar race grabbing 3rd. Fitter now and has claims.
CROSS TALK looks special. Only raced 3 times for 2 wins and loves the mud. Should lead. Is resuming but has a touch of class about him that may well shine through.
Tip: CROSS TALK
Big weight to lump around here for CRUEL SUMMER but there is a touch of talent about this horse that it may not be an issue. Most impressive winning first up last start in the mud. Fitter now.
ARAMIS resumes here and may surprise. Has a lot of speed.
JAYANTHI is up from Victoria. Won maiden easily then up to BM 72 last start and was a great 3rd. This is in his wheelhouse. Hughie rides.
Tough race to access. Some really nice types emerging.
OCEANOGRAPHY is very fit and in rock hard super form. The 3kg claim just makes a better bet. Big show.
SPROUT WINGS ran a cracker first up at Kembla over a mile in the mud. Ran home for 2nd and has won over 2100m in the past. Can do again.
YGGDRASIL is honest and tries very hard. Will get back and run on. Is very fit and is up to this grade.