Hobartville Stakes full preview and betting strategy: What price Anamoe?

hobartville stakes
hobartville stakes

The Hobartville Stakes is a Group 2 race for three-year-olds, held at Rosehill Racecourse in February and worth $400,000. The race serves as a key lead-up events for the Sydney autumn three-year-olds ‘Triple Crown: the Randwick Guineas, Rosehill Guineas and Australian Derby.

Hobartville Stakes 2022: Preview

All but one runner (Special Reward) is first-up here, which obviously makes it a challenge for betting. Most will be looking for further and peaking later in their preps.

Track This is being written on Thursday night and with 5-10mm forecast for Friday and 1-3mm on race day, I am going with a Soft 6 track. Last raceday at Rosehill it was rated a 3 by the end of the day, and you needed to be rails in run to win… off the fence was a severe disadvantage. We’ll assume a track that suits those up and in. However, a big watch during the day to see how the track is playing.

Speed The speed should be average with Maurice’s Medad leading and Silent Impact and Converge sitting handy. Anamoe will settle back, but I think he can settle slightly closer than last start.

Anamoe is clearly the best horse in the race with ratings above what any of these have achieved. His racing pattern is always a concern, especially with any disadvantages with the track. Given the bias against him last start, the run had real merit. It will all come down to what price to take.

Converge is the big danger if Anamoe is off, or there is a clear advantage to be fence in run.

Alegron will be better over longer.

Hilal‘s best runs are over a touch longer (1500-1600) and later on in his prep.

Ranch Hand loses JMac, and is well short of the rating that will be required to win the race.

Raging Bull is first-up, not at a suitable distance and not up to the level to win this.

Maurice’s Medad will lead the field up with a good front running jockey in Parr, but not up to the better horses in this race.

Silent Impact will be running in a forward position which may be a positive on the day. Will be in it a long way.

Royalzel, Subterranean, Kiss Sum and Flying Crazy aren’t up to the level required to win this.

Verdict
It all depends on price with Anamoe. At his current price (around $1.70) he is a bit short, especially with his get-back style. If horses can run on and there’s no fence in-run bias I would take $2.10 plus. If there is any fence in-run or front running biases on the day I would be looking towards Converge or Silent Impact.

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