Full race preview and betting strategy

Mark Rhoden's Randwick Quaddie Jan 25, 2019, Horse Racing Tips July 4, horse racing tips August 15, horse racing tips August 22, australian oaks, apollo stakes
Mark Rhoden's Randwick Quaddie Jan 25, 2019, Horse Racing Tips July 4, horse racing tips August 15, horse racing tips August 22, australian oaks, apollo stakes

The Apollo Stakes is a Group 2 weight-for-age race over 1400 metres, held at Randwick Racecourse in early February and worth $250,000. It attracts quality horses that are either first-up or early in their preparations as they launch their attack on major autumn races.

Apollo Stakes 2022: Preview

All but one runner (Special Reward) is first-up here, which obviously makes it a challenge for betting. Most will be looking for further and peaking later in their preps.

Track
This review is written on Thursday night… with 5-10mm forecast for Friday will be working off a Soft 6 to Soft 7 and a fair track, slightly favouring those midfield and off-pace. If it is rain affected, off the fence late in the day maybe the place to be.

Speed
Should be a below average speed. Special Reward and Kolding should lead, with I am Superman, Riodini, Maximal off-speed and Verry Ellegant and Think it Over midfield.

Think it Over has a good record first-up, including a win at Group 3 level. He’s run a rating required to win and should get a good run from midfield.

Kolding gets a gun run, but his best runs are on firmer ground. Query if the rain hits.

I Am Superman went out on a peak last prep but hasn’t run a rating first-up that can win this.

Special Reward the only horse not first-up and one of the leaders. Will be in it a long way, but not quite up to these.

Riodini‘s best ratings are over 1600m and that was fourth and fifth-up in a prep. Not for me at first-up over 1400 metres in this field.

Sikandarabad isn’t up to these.

Maximal will be handy on speed which will be favourable, but needs to improve to win this.

Verry Ellegant is such a versatile horse and the one to beat for mine. The wet is not an issue, and she’s produced a figure first-up that can win this.

The wetter the better for Colette. If it gets to the heavy range, that changes things for the positive. If Verry Ellegant isn’t at her peak then Colette is a chance. The map is a negative.

I can’t have Icebath. She would have to produce a peak rating first-up to win.

Hungry Heart would prefer longer.

Shes Ideel is short of the rating required to win this race.

Duais has produced a rating close to what is needed to win this, but probably isn’t in the class of these.

Verdict
It’s a very tough race to bet into with all but one horse first-up. The parade and the weather will play a big part. I have Verry Ellegant on top, but wouldn’t want her much shorter than current odds ($5.50). If the track is heavier and you can run on, I could have a small play on Colette.

Outside of these two Think it Over is a big chance, but I would want longer odds than the current market ($3.60).

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