EPL Tips & Preview – Week 36

Palmerbet Blog

Find the back of the net with tips for all 10 matches of EPL Week 36 with the title race and relegation battle still very much alive. 

00:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Brentford Community Stadium, Brentford

History: Played 68: Southampton 34 V Southampton 21 (13 Draws)

Last meeting: January 11, 2022 (EPL): Southampton 4 d Brentford 1 at St Mary’s Stadium

Final Thoughts: Brentford and Southampton, 14th and 15th respectively and both on 40 points, kick off Week 36 with a largely inconsequential clash.

After chalking up five wins and a draw in the previous seven games, Brentford went down 3-0 to Man United last weekend. Southampton lost 2-1 at home to Crystal Palace and have now won just one of their last nine games.

Southampton carved out a 4-1 home win when the teams met in January.

But the Bees have kept three straight clean sheets at Brentford Community Stadium for wins over Burnley and West Ham, and a draw against Tottenham. The hosts are a straightforward head-to-head option given their form over the past couple of months.

Best Bet: Result – Brentford @ $2.20

Same Game Multi: Total – Under 2.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Ivan Toney @ $5.02

00:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Turf Moor, Burnley

History: Played 120: Aston Villa 51 V Burnley 41 (28 Draws)

Last meeting: January 27, 2021 (EPL): Burnley 3 d Aston Villa 2 at Turf Moor

Final Thoughts: Burnley have put themselves in a strong position to avoid relegation after occupying a bottom-three spot for months, with a 2-1 victory at Watford (after their trailed at the 80th minute) giving the Clarets three straight wins for the first win this season. Burnley have racked up 13 points from a possible 18 in their last six outings. They are now 16th, but only two points ahead of Everton, who have a game in hand.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, pulled away from potential relegation danger with a 2-0 win over visiting Norwich last week, ending a five-match winless run. Ollie Watkins and Danny Ings found the back of the net.

The clubs have met in more than 15 months, with their Week 18 catch-up fixture still to come. Burnley nabbed a 3-2 home win over Villa last season.

Burnley are $3 outsiders at home, which is tough to resist given their recent tear.

Best Bet: Result – Burnley @ $3.00

Same Game Multi: Result – Burnley +1; Total – Under 2.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Ollie Watkins @ $14.03

00:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Stamford Bridge, London

History: Played 112: Chelsea 43 V Wolverhampton 40 (29 Draws)

Last meeting: December 19, 2021 (EPL): 0-0 draw at Molineux Stadium

Final Thoughts: Third-placed Chelsea may be getting slightly nervous after a shock Week 35 loss – Arsenal are now just three points adrift and Tottenham five with four matches to play. The Blues were rolled for the third time in six games, going down 1-0 to 18th-placed Everton.

Wolverhampton are eighth but well out of contention, sinking to three straight losses to Newcastle, Burnley and Brighton without scoring. Last weekend’s 3-0 homed defeat to the Seagulls represented their biggest losing margin this season.

The teams’ last two encounters finished in scoreless draws, including their Week 18 clash at Wolverhampton.

Chelsea’s patchy recent efforts don’t inspire a huge amount of confidence – particularly as a $1.36 favourite – but Wolves are battling and Thomas Tuchel should have his charges keyed up to seal what would be vital three points.

Best Bet: Chelsea To Win To Nil @ $1.98

Same Game Multi: Half-time Result – Chelsea; Handicap – Chelsea -1; Anytime Goalscorer – Romelu Lukaku @ $5.21

00:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Selhurst Park, London

History: Played 124: Crystal Palace 51 V Watford 45 (28 Draws)

Last meeting: February 23, 2022 (EPL): Crystal Palace 4 d Watford 1 at Vicarage Road

Final Thoughts: Little on the line here with Crystal Palace nestled in 12th and Watford destined for the Championship, barring one of the all-time EPL miracles with the Hornets 12 points from safety with four games to play.

Watford have lost five straight, coughing up a late lead in a 2-1 home defeat to Burnley in Week 35. The Hornets have managed a goal in their last three matches, however.

Palace came from behind to beat Southampton 2-1 on the road last week, with Wilfried Zaha scoring the injury-time winner.

Palace romped to a 4-1 win at Watford earlier this season, with Wilfried Zaha scoring a late brace. They are unbeaten in their last four at Selhurst Park and should get the result again here.

Best Bet: Result and Total – Crystal Palace and Over 2.5 @ $2.60

Same Game Multi: Crystal Palace Score in Both Halves; Result – Crystal Palace; Anytime Goalscorer – Wilfried Zaha @ $4.69

02:30 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Amex Stadium, Brighton

History: Played 27: Man United 19 V Brighton 3 (5 Draws)

Last meeting: February 15, 2022 (EPL): Man United 2 d Brighton 0 at Old Trafford

Final Thoughts: Manchester United remain five points outside the top four with four games to play, though they regained a bit of form with a 3-0 home victory of Brentford. Cristiano Ronaldo scored his ninth goal in his last seven games.

Brighton, early-season overachievers before falling in a February hole, have hit a purple patch – culminating in a 3-0 drubbing of Wolverhampton last weekend. The Seagulls’ only loss in their last six games was to Man City.

United are on a seven-match winning streak against Brighton, with Cristiano Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes scoring second-half goals in a 2-0 home victory earlier this season.

Still alive – just – in the top-four race, United need to snap a four-game losing streak on the road to stay afloat. But they still look the value option as only a slender favourite.

Best Bet: Result – Manchester United @ $2.50

Same Game Multi: Total – Over 3.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Cristiano Ronaldo; Anytime Goalscorer – Neal Maupay @ $9.35

04:45 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Anfield, Liverpool

History: Played 178: Liverpool 87 V Tottenham 48 (43 Draws)

Last meeting: December 19, 2021 (EPL): 2-2 draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Final Thoughts: Liverpool remain just one point behind EPL leaders Man City, but this shapes as potentially the biggest test of their remaining Premier League schedule – a clash with top-four aspirants Tottenham, on a short turnaround from their Champions League semi-final victory at Villareal. The Reds grinded out a 1-0 win at Newcastle last weekend, while they also have an FA Cup final next weekend to think about.

Tottenham remain in fifth and just two points shy of Arsenal, returning to form with a 3-1 home win over Leicester. Harry Kane scored the only goal of the first half, while Son Heung-min bagged a second-half brace.

A 2-all draw in Week 18 snapped Tottenham’s seven-match losing streak against Liverpool. Harry Kane scored the opener and Son Heung-min netted a 74th-minute equaliser, with Diogo Jota and Andy Robertson scoring for Liverpool in between.

Liverpool are $1.44 favourites at home, but Spurs – particularly if Kane and Son continue to fire – will cause them a few problems.

Best Bet: Double Chance and Both Teams To Score – Liverpool or Draw and Yes @ $1.83

Same Game Multi: Handicap – Tottenham +2; Anytime Goalscorer – Diogo Jota; Anytime Goalscorer – Son Heung-min @ $8.17

23:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Carrow Road, Norwich

History: Played 75: West Ham 31 V Norwich 22 (22 Draws)

Last meeting: January 12, 2022 (EPL): West Ham 2 d Norwich 0 at London Stadium

Final Thoughts: Norwich are officially, mathematically heading back to the Championship. The last-placed Canaries – who have picked up only four points from their past 11 games – sunk to their third straight loss via a 2-0 defeat at Aston Villa last weekend.

West Ham are seventh but also come in deflated, sitting 11 points adrift of the top four after a 2-1 home loss to Arsenal left them with just one point from their last four outings. They also have a Europa League semi-final deficit to overcome in Frankfurt on Friday morning (AEST).

Norwich have won just one of their last 14 against West Ham, going down 2-0 in London earlier this season with Jarrod Bowen scoring a goal in each half for the Irons.

West Ham have been flat as a pancake over the past month and have scored only seven goals in their last eight games. I’ll lean towards them to get the job done here, though, with Norwich losing four of their last five at home by two-plus margins.

Best Bet: Result – West Ham @ $1.80

Same Game Multi: Handicap – West Ham -1; Total – Under 3.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Jarrod Bowen @ $12.49

23:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ King Power Stadium, Leicester

History: Played 116: Everton 44 V Leicester 38 (34 Draws)

Last meeting: April 20, 2022 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Goodison Park

Final Thoughts: Everton are 18th but striving hard to avoid a historic drop out of the Premier League. They managed a clutch 1-0 home win over heavyweights Chelsea last weekend via Richarlison’s 47th-minute goal – the only problem is Burnley also got up. But the Toffees are only two points adrift of the Clarets and Leeds, as well as having a game in hand.

Eleventh-placed Leicester are winless in their last four games after going down 3-1 at Tottenham last weekend.

The teams met just three weeks ago in a Week 18 catch-up fixture, Richarlison earning a crucial point for Everton with a 90th-minute equaliser.

Desperate Everton, only a $3 underdog at King Power, will view this game as one of their best remaining opportunities to snare some much needed points. But they have picked up just two draws from their last 14 away games and have lost seven straight on the road. There’s not much more than pride for Leicester to play for but a deadlocked result seems the most likely outcome in this one.

Best Bet: Result – Draw @ $3.25

Same Game Multi: Both Teams To Score; Handicap – Everton +1; Anytime Goalscorer – Richarlison @ $4.81

23:00 (AEST), Sun 8th May @ Emirates Stadium, London

History: Played 124: Arsenal 50 V Leeds 41 (33 Draws)

Last meeting: December 18, 2021 (EPL): Arsenal 4 d Leeds 1 at Elland Road

Final Thoughts: After a diabolical start to April, Arsenal are clinging to fourth on the ladder courtesy of three straight wins over clubs situated in the top seven: Chelsea (4-2), Man United (3-1) and West Ham (2-1). Rob Holding opened the scoring at London Stadium and Gabriel put the Gunners back into the lead in the 54th minute.

Leeds are in a fascinating (if a touch more terrifying) battle of their own after a 4-0 loss to Man City last week snapped an impressive five-match unbeaten run. They are in 17th spot after Burnley’s win, just two points above Everton, who have a game in hand.

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 matches against Leeds, including a 4-1 away victory in Week 18 that included a first-half Gabriel Martinelli brace.

The Gunners are in fine attacking fettle at present, and Leeds – who have conceded a league-high 72 goals – looked vulnerable last week when encountering a big gun for the first time in a while.

Best Bet: Result and Total – Arsenal and Over 2.5 @ $2.00

Same Game Multi: Handicap – Arsenal -1; Anytime Goalscorer – Emile Smith-Rowe; Total – Over 2.5 @ $5.28

01:30 (AEST), Mon 9th May @ Etihad Stadium, Manchester

History: Played 185: Man City 73 V Newcastle 72 (40 Draws)

Last meeting: December 19, 2021 (EPL): Man City 4 d Newcastle 0 at St James’ Park

Final Thoughts: Manchester City keep holding up their end of the bargain in the EPL title race, staying one point ahead of Liverpool with a 4-0 drubbing of Leeds – their third straight by margins of three goals or more. Gabriel Jesus followed up his four-goal haul against Watford with a goal at Elland Road.

Newcastle shapes as arguably City’s toughest remaining opponent – but the Magpies may bear the brunt of the Citizens’ frustration from their Champions League semi-final exit on Thursday.

Newcastle were on a four-match winning streak (making it 10 wins from 14 games) before a 1-0 home loss to Liverpool last weekend. The Magpies are 10th, which is extraordinary given the bottom-three hole they were in as the calendar flipped over into 2022.

Man City have won their last five against Newcastle by a combined 17-3 – including a 4-0 rout in Week 18.

Impressive as Newcastle’s form has been in recent months, the closest they’ve come to a boilover result this season was a draw against Man United. City will win this and should do comfortably particularly as for-and-against could still come into play.

Best Bet: Handicap – Man City -2 @ $2.30

Same Game Multi: Result – Man City; Total – Over 3.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Gabriel Jesus; Anytime Goalscorer – Kevin De Bruyne @ $7.65