Find the back of the net with tips for the six midweek catch-up matches – including a Liverpool v Man United blockbuster – as the EPL season gets to the pointy end.
05:00 (AEST), Wed 20th Apr @ Anfield, Liverpool
History: Played 236: Man United 89 V Liverpool 79 (68 Draws)
Last meeting: October 21, 2021 (EPL): Liverpool 5 d Man United 0 at Old Trafford
Final Thoughts: A crunch Week 30 catch-up as Liverpool aims to keep pace with Man City in the race for the title and Man United strive to stay in the top-four hunt.
Liverpool, who won their previous 10 games (and the last five of those to nil), played out an epic 2-all draw with City in Week 32. They fought back from a goal down twice through Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane. Liverpool then advanced in the UCL with a 3-all draw against Benfica and rolled Man City 3-2 in the FA Cup semis.
A Cristiano Ronaldo hat-trick saved United’s blushes and kept their top-four hopes alive, carrying them to a 3-2 win over lowly Norwich at home after they coughed up a two-goal lead. It carried on a very sketchy run of form for the Red Devils. The tragic death of Ronaldo’s newborn son would suggest the megastar striker is unlikely to line up against Liverpool.
Man United are winless in their last seven Premier League games against Liverpool and still have the sour taste of a 5-0 drubbing at home from their heavyweight rivals in Week 9.
It’s not often you’ll see Man United as an $8 underdog, but that’s the reality of gap between these rivals at present – and it’s hard to see Liverpool slipping up with the premiership crown well within reach.
Same Game Multi: Result – Liverpool; Total – Over 2.5; Both Teams To Score; Anytime Goalscorer – Mo Salah; Anytime Goalscorer – Diogo Jota @ $6.21
04:45 (AEST), Thu 21st Apr @ Goodison Park, Liverpool
History: Played 115: Everton 44 V Leicester City 38 (33 Draws)
Last meeting: January 27, 2021 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Everton are in 17th spot, three points clear of the bottom three and with a game in hand. The struggling Toffees nabbed a crucial 1-0 upset of Man United last time out and had last weekend off ahead of this Week 18 catch-up.
Leicester City are backing up just three days after a 2-1 loss at Newcastle – after winning four and drawing one of their previous six games in the brightest run of form in a disappointing campaign. The Foxes conceded in the 95th minute to go down at St James’ Park after Ademola Lookman scored the opening goal.
Everton have won three and drawn one of their last five EPL games at home against Leicester City.
Finishing in the top half is about all ninth-placed Leicester have left to play for over the last couple of months of the season. Meanwhile, every point is absolutely vital for Everton. I’m leaning towards the well-rested Toffees here.
Same Game Multi: Result – Everton; Total – Over 2.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ $2.80
04:45 (AEST), Thu 21st Apr @ Stamford Bridge, London
History: Played 204: Arsenal 80 V Chelsea 66 (58 Draws)
Last meeting: August 22, 2021 (EPL): Chelsea 2 d Arsenal 0 at Emirates Stadium
Final Thoughts: Another catch-up blockbuster with third-placed Chelsea and sixth-placed Arsenal getting their Week 25 fixture done.
Though essentially out of the title race, Chelsea boast a handy five-point, two-game buffer ahead of the chasing pack. The Blues bounced back emphatically from a 4-1 home loss to Brentford, obliterating Southampton 6-0 with Mason Mount and Timo Werner both scoring twice. They then won at Real Madrid (though lost the UCL tie on aggregate) and beat Crystal Palace on the weekend in an FA Cup semi.
Arsenal have been down their best to bottle their top-four chances over the past month, losing four of their last five games – including a 1-0 defeat to Southampton on the weekend on the back of bad defeats to Crystal Palace (3-0) and Brighton (2-1). The Gunners are still only three points off fourth-placed Spurs and have a game in hand, however.
Chelsea put away Arsenal 2-0 at Emirates Stadium in Week 2 through first-half Romelu Lukaku and Reece James goals.
Both sides are on a short turnaround, but Chelsea hold a significant advantage in terms of recent form. They’ve lost just twice at home this season, while Arsenal have lost as many games as they’ve won on the road.
Best Bet: Result – Chelsea @ $1.83
04:45 (AEST), Thu 21st Apr @ St James’ Park, Newcastle
History: Played 50: Newcastle 28 V Crystal Palace 12 (10 Draws)
Last meeting: October 23, 2021 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Selhurst Park
Final Thoughts: This Week 30 catch-up provides an opportunity to potentially jump into the top half as 13th-placed Crystal Palace travel to take on Newcastle. Both clubs are locked on 37 points and effectively out of relegation danger.
Newcastle have won eight of their last 12 games, including their last two against Wolves (1-0) and Leicester (2-1). Bruno Guimaraes scored both goals against the Foxes, including the 95th-minute winner.
Palace’s five-game unbeaten streak ended with a 2-1 loss at Leicester City in their last outing – a disappointing comedown after pumping Arsenal 3-0. Wilfried Zaha has scored in three of Palace’s last four games.
The teams played out a 1-all stalemate in Week 9, with Christian Benteke’s 56th-minute goal cancelled out by Callum Wilson’s strike nine minutes later.
The Magpies are on a three-day turnaround, which could even out the home-ground advantage. Another draw could be on the cards here.
Best Bet: Result – Draw @ $3.20
Same Game Multi: Handicap – Crystal Palace +1; Total – Over 1.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Wilfried Zaha @ $3.20
05:00 (AEST), Thu 21st Apr @ Etihad Stadium, Manchester
History: Played 27: Man City 17 V Brighton 6 (4 Draws)
Last meeting: October 23, 2021 (EPL): Man City 4 d Brighton 1 at Amex Stadium
Final Thoughts: Manchester City can’t afford any slip-ups with a one-point lead over Liverpool at the top of the EPL table. Coming off some streaky form by their standards, the defending champs drew 2-all with Liverpool in their last EPL outing after Kevin de Bruyne and Gabriel Jesus scored first-half goals.
The Citizens won their UCL quarter-final tie against Atletico Madrid before going down 3-2 to Liverpool in their FA Cup semi on the weekend.
Brighton are 10th on the ladder and looking for their third straight big scalp. After losing six in a row and being held to a scoreless draw by Norwich, the Seagulls have picked up away victories over Arsenal (2-1) and Tottenham (1-0) in the past 11 days.
Man City have won nine of their last 10 against Brighton, including a 4-1 drubbing at Amex Stadium in Week 9 with Phil Foden notching a first-half brace.
It’s a tricky assignment for City against a confident visitor who have nothing to lose. They should get the win but value is hard to come by here with the hosts as $1.18 favourites.
Same Game Multi: Handicap – Brighton +2; Total – Over 2.5; Anytime Goalscorer – Raheem Sterling @ $9.96
04:45 (AEST), Fri 22nd Apr @ Turf Moor, Burnley
History: Played 63: Burnley 23 V Southampton 22 (18 Draws)
Last meeting: October 23, 2021 (EPL): 2-2 draw at St Mary’s Stadium
Final Thoughts: Burnley are 18th – three points shy of Everton, who have a game in hand. A home game against a team in the bottom half is almost must-win for the Clarets at this stage.
With manager Sean Dyche sacked in the wake of a shattering 2-0 loss to battlers Norwich, caretaker Mike Jackson steered Burnley to a gritty 1-all draw at West ham on the weekend.
Southampton are 12th, but snapped a five-match winless streak – which culminated in a horror 6-0 home loss to Chelsea – with a 1-0 home victory over Arsenal in Week 33.
Southampton won both clashes between the clubs last season, but they drew 2-all at St Mary’s Stadium in Week 9. Burnley’s Maxwel Cornet scored the first and last goals of the match, while Tino Livramento and Armando Broja found the back of the net for Southampton either side of halftime.
At home, Burnley can at least earn a point and stay alive in the battle to avoid the drop.