AFL Tips & Preview – Round 13

Round 13 of the 2022 AFL season features a hugely anticipated Queen’s Birthday clash on Monday afternoon, while the Saints attempt to launch back into the Top 4.

Thursday 9th June, 19:20 (AEST)

Richmond Port Adelaide
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 35: Richmond 14 v Port Adelaide 20 (1 draw)

Last Meeting: AFL R4 2021: Port Adelaide 11.13 (79) dftd Richmond 11.11 (77)

Final Thoughts: Picking themselves up after a heartbreaking loss to the Swans pre-bye, Richmond have a chance to jump back inside the Top 8 with victory here. And given the mid-ladder logjam, this clash takes on an even bigger importance; despite starting 0-5, Port Adelaide can draw level with the Tigers at 6-6 with a win at the MCG.

Damien Hardwick’s men could be significantly buoyed by the return of several senior players, with Kane Lambert (hip), Noah Balta (hamstring) and Marlion Pickett (migraine) all reportedly available for selection. For the Power, their biggest issue will be how, away from home, they kick a winning score. Only the bottom three clubs of Essendon, North Melbourne and West Coast have hit the scoreboard less than Ken Hinkley’s side this season.

Tip: Line, Richmond -12.5 @ $1.90

Friday 10th June, 19:50 (AEST)

Essendon Carlton
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 250: Essendon 118 v Carlton 126 (6 draws)

Last Meeting: AFL R7 2021: Essendon 16.11 (107) lost to Carlton 19.9 (123)

Final Thoughts: This intriguing clash kicks off a huge month for Carlton, where they’ll have to navigate tough opponents with key players out. The Blues have lost the asset they could least afford to lose in Jacob Weitering for the next five weeks and with Harry McKay and Marc Pittonet still on the sidelines, Michael Voss is struggling to fill the big-man void. It perhaps underlines just how important four points is here, ahead of difficult games against Richmond, Fremantle and St Kilda to come. They do, however, have a strong recent record over the Dons having won three of their last four.

Essendon is set to welcome back Jake Stringer (who hasn’t played since Round 7) in a huge night for the club. Doubtless the Bombers faithful would prefer to be in a better position than 2-9 on a night they celebrate their 150th anniversary, but the emotion of the night may just help them over the line against a depleted Blues spine.

Tip: Margin, Carlton by 1-39 @ $2.12

Saturday 11th June, 16:10 (AEST)

Fremantle Hawthorn
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 39: Fremantle 11 v Hawthorn 28

Last Meeting: AFL R17 2021: Hawthorn 6.10 (46) lost to Fremantle 16.12 (108)

Final Thoughts: Fremantle have emerged as the number two seed in 2022 after back-to-back wins against premiership fancies Melbourne and Brisbane in the last fortnight, underlining their credentials. From early in the season Justin Longmuir’s side have emerged as a strong, settled defensive unit but they’ve shown their forward polish in recent weeks, scoring 99 and 94 points respectively in those games.

Hawthorn are fast developing the reputation of a ‘nearly side’. They’ve pushed Top 8 sides in Carlton, Sydney, Melbourne and Collingwood so far in 2022, but finished with an ‘honourable loss’. Naturally, it’s not where Sam Mitchell wants to be but an upward trajectory is visible in his young side. They start considerable underdogs in this one but are a huge chance to cover the line.

Tip: Line, Hawthorn +32.5 @ $1.90

Saturday 11th June, 19:25 (AEST)

Brisbane St Kilda
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C I/C

 

History: Played 49: Brisbane 24 v St Kilda 25

Last Meeting: AFL R17 2021: Brisbane Lions 8.15 (63) lost to St Kilda 14.11 (95)

Final Thoughts: They say defence wins premierships, so when do we start querying whether the Lions are up to the task in 2022? Chris Fagan’s backline has conceded 117, 96 and 99 points respectively in the last three weeks, and questions are being asked of their flag credentials. It was notable that after their loss to Fremantle in Round 12, the Lions vacated the second-favourite spot in flag betting with Palmerbet, a spot they had occupied for over 10 weeks.

The Saints, by contrast, have conceded the third fewest points in 2022, behind flag fancies Melbourne and Fremantle. Brett Ratten’s men, who could welcome both Hunter Clark and Jack Higgins back into the fold for this crucial clash, have won three in a row and victory here would catapult them inside the Top 4. The Saints have won four of their last six games against Brisbane at the Gabba, and lost the last (in 2020) by just two points.

Tip: H2H, St Kilda @ $3.03

Sunday 12th June, 15:20 (AEST)

North Melbourne GWS
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)


History:
Played 11: North Melbourne 7 v GWS Giants 3 (1 draw)

Last Meeting: AFL R13 2021: North Melbourne 14.10 (94) drew GWS Giants 14.10 (94)

Final Thoughts: There’s concerns less than 10,000 people could turn up to this clash, and it’s not hard to see why — two bottom four clubs, with four wins between them in 2022, duking it out at Marvel Stadium on a long weekend. North have now lost their last 10 games on the bounce, the last eight of which have been by over 45 points. Staggeringly, on the back of this they’ve managed to vacate the favourite’s position in Palmerbet’s ‘least wins’ market for 2022 such is the dire state of the West Coast Eagles at present. But that’ll provide little solace for David Noble, who is increasingly looking like he’s on borrow time.

The Giants start strong favourites to win their second game under the Mark McVeigh caretaker era. Now out to $26 Top 8 chances, like North Melbourne they’re starting to look at 2023. They are yet to lace up the boots at Marvel Stadium in 2022, but won the last two games of the 2021 home and away season at the Docklands venue.

Tip: Total Points, Under 170.5 @ $1.88

Monday 13th June, 15:20 (AEST)

Collingwood Melbourne
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
F F
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

 

History: Played 240: Collingwood 151 v Melbourne 84 (5 draws)

Last Meeting: AFL R13 2021: Melbourne 9.9 (63) lost to Collingwood 11.14 (80)

Final Thoughts: Queen’s Birthday Monday is always a big clash at the MCG, but this one perhaps takes on more importance given the form of both clubs leading in. Collingwood are riding high after three wins on the bounce and may just sniff an upset in front of what is expected to be a huge crowd. The Dees, by contrast, have conceded two games in a row after a 17-game winnings streak. And now, key defenders Steven May — arguably their most important player — will miss yet another week after getting into a fight with teammate Jake Melksham. It’s not been a good fortnight for the Dees. And while they start this one as strong favourites, a creeping anxiety may just become even bigger if they don’t start well.

The Pies unsurprisingly start as outsiders, but they have a brilliant recent record against Melbourne. Collingwood have won five of their last six against the Dees, including the last three Queens Birthday clashes.

Tip: To score 2+ goals, Max Gawn (Melb) @ $3.30