Round 12 of the 2022 AFL season saw a new second seed emerge in flag betting, while Melbourne were pulled back to the field.
Here’s how it looked for punters:
Lions punted from No.2
Since the end of Round 2, premiership betting has read the same at the top rung. Melbourne number one, Brisbane number two. It’s been that way for 10 weeks. But now, a second seed has emerged. Fremantle’s stirring win over the Lions to round out the weekend — backing up a huge win over the premiership favourites last week — has pushed them up into number two. The Dockers started ever-so-marginal $1.87 favourites over Brisbane ($1.93) and, despite trailing early into the third term, came home with a wet sail to further underline the flag credentials of Justin Longmuir’s men. The win shifts Freo from $8.50 into $5.50 for the 2022 AFL Premiership.
Freo 7-1 then have GC, Coll, Melb and BL and get to 9-3. Just as expected 😉
— Daniel Cherny (@DanielCherny) June 5, 2022
“You wouldn’t read about it!” 😱
Bailey Banfield now has a career-high four goals in his 50th game!
— Fox Footy (@FOXFOOTY) June 5, 2022
Swans win gives competition hope
For the second week in a row, Melbourne went down at the MCG after starting heavy favourites. After Freo snapped the Dees’ winning streak last week, it was the Swans ($4.00 outsiders) who did the job away from home this time, after Simon Goodwin’s men starting at $1.25 H2H with Palmerbet. The huge win for the Bloods has given the competition hope. After streaking to 10 straight wins, the Dees had shortened into $2.45 AFL premiership favourites. Back-to-back losses not only sees them back to within four points of both Fremantle and Brisbane, but has seen them out to $2.80. Still undoubted flag favourites, some chinks have been exposed in their armour.
“I think Gawn and Steven May. Lose one of them – they come back to the field.”@MatthewLloyd18 shows why the absence of May has been a game-changer for the Demons. #9AFLSFS | Watch on @Channel9 pic.twitter.com/aMcWKnapxm
— Footy on Nine (@FootyonNine) June 5, 2022
The elusive second win
Both stuck on one win apiece in what’s been a horrific AFL campaign to date, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to see where the second victory in 2022 will come for both West Coast and North Melbourne. Each were brushed aside by 30+ points in Round 12 for the EIGHTH week in a row. Two months of footy, and neither club has got within five goals of their opponent. And on the weekend, something happened that suggested the Eagles might be further than the elusive second win than the Kangaroos.
For the first time in 2022, North vacated favouritism in Palmerbet’s ‘Least Wins’ market. David Noble’s men are now out to $2.00 despite a 62-point hammering to the Suns. West Coast were defeated by half that margin, but to the hardly impressive Crows. And as such, the Eagles ($1.85) are now favoured to win less games than any other club this AFL season, a damning indictment on a club who were expected to at least challenge for the Top 8 in 2022.
“Where are their heads at for their senior players? These aren’t the top-up players, these aren’t the fill in players.”
— AFL (@AFL) June 5, 2022